2 New Polls Show Mixed Results in Warren/Brown Race

A new WBUR/MassINC polls shows Senator Scott Brown a 48 percent to 45 percent lead over Elizabeth Warren but a UMass-Amherst polls gives Warren a 48 percent to 46 percent lead.


Two new polls released yesterday show a race that has yet to have a definite leader in the fight to represent Massachusetts in the Senate.

While a new poll from WBUR and MassINC of 501 likely voters conducted between October 5-7 shows Senator Scott Brown leading Elizabeth Warren 48 percent to 45 percent, a new UMass-Amherst/YouGov America poll of 500 registered voters taken between October 2-8 gives Warren a 48 percent to 46 percent lead.

The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent in the WBUR poll and +/- 5 percent in the UMass poll.

The new WBUR poll shows a seven point swing since the last WBUR/MassINC poll. In the previous poll taken between September 26-28, Warren led 49 percent to 45 percent.

Based on the WBUR poll, Senator Brown continues to have a high difference in his favorable rating with a difference of plus 23 percent in his favorable (54%) and unfavorable (31%) ratings. Warren, however, continues to have a smaller gap with her favorable rating of 47 percent and unfavorable rating of 38 percent giving her a difference of plus nine percent.

When asked how important the issue of Warren's claim to Native American ancestry is in deciding whom to support, 49 percent said it was not at all important, 18 percent said it was not too important, and 30 percent said it was either somewhat important or very important.

In the UMass poll, voters were also asked how much the possibility of the race deciding which party will control the Senate influences their vote. When Brown supporters were asked if they would still vote for Brown if a Brown win meant that Republicans would have a majority of seats in the U.S. Senate, 86 percent. said yes, three percent said no, and 11 percent were not sure.

When Warren supporters were asked if they would still vote for Warren if a victory by her allowed the Democrats to keep their majority in the Senate, 94 percent said yes, two percent said no, and four percent were not sure.

The candidates for Senate will debate tonight at 7:00 p.m. on NECN and C-SPAN.


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